It's an idea taken up by Mikhail Turchenko, an expert in Russian political science, in an essay published on Riddle Russia.įor Turchenko, the way Mr Putin navigated the mutiny - with Wagner boss Yevgeny Prigozhin failing to garner support of the elites and being about-turned with relatively little bloodshed - shows seismic change is not afoot in the Kremlin. Rumours of his ill-health make for clickable headlines, and while he is unlikely to lose power electorally (as our Moscow correspondent Diana Magnay explains here), this summer's failed mutiny gave credence to the idea that he could one day be forcibly removed. One of the most intriguing aspects of this conflict is what will become of Vladimir Putin. The paste is squeezed out of the tube - the growth of protests by dissatisfied people of various colours in Russia - cannot be stuffed back in." "The current situation for the Kremlin is such that the unrealised desire for a second offensive on Kyiv will be overshadowed by the urgent need to prepare to meet a second march on Moscow," he said. Oleksiy Danilov said the threat of a second mutiny is now overshadowing Russia's will to launch an offensive on Kyiv. Vladimir Putin's illusion of invincibility was destroyed, however, and he is still dealing with the embarrassment and political fallout of the rebellion. It was short-lived and ended with a deal brokered by Belarus's president Alexander Lukashenko, which led to the exile of Wagner boss Yevgeny Prigozhin. Russia faced a mutiny in June when the mercenary Wagner Group launched a "march on Moscow" calling for top military leaders to be removed from their posts. A second armed rebellion in Russia is "not too far off in time", Ukraine's top security official has warned.
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